Oliver Thylmann's Stuff

Longer than Twitter and shorter than a Blog post :)

Shocking Fraud from Financial Scum : Good Math, Bad Math

The strategy here is simple. I spend $5 million buy the bottom 5% of $100 million worth of loans that I think are going bad. I'm expecting to lose that: I'm going to be out $5 million. But, I also use another $5 million to buy credit default swaps on $60 million worth of the higher tranches of that pool of loans. Now, if the pool goes bad, I'm out $10 million - $5 million for the crap that I bought that's now worthless, and $5 million to buy the credit default swaps. But because the whole thing went bad, I get to collect $60 million.

Scary indeed.

Filed under  //   finance  

Goldman Exec: It's Unfortunate To Have Shitty Deal "On E-Mail"

oh boy that was a bad comment ;)

Filed under  //   finance   legal   video  

Quants: The Alchemists of Wall Street

very good to watch.

Filed under  //   finance   video  

When CPC goes down Google Thinks it's a bug

It was as though we weren’t making the right amount of money on every one of our clicks. We measure the amount of revenue we get per click. What was happening was we were getting the same number of clicks and less revenue.

Otherwise the article is about bankers and Obama but I really liked that quote from the start. :)

Filed under  //   advertising   finance   google  

Financial Crisis: An Explanation of Bank Trust

This is from the an article/interview from Geoff Colvin with Mohamed El-Erian (Pimco CEO) from Fortune (21st of December 2009). I think it is the best explanation of the financial crisis I have ever read.

Geoff Colvin asked "What really happened back then?" and Mohamed El-Erian answers:

You go to a McDonald's. You order, you go to one window, you pay; you go to the next window, you pick up your food, and you go. You normally can do it within 30 seconds. Now imagine the following. There's a payment window where you pay, and there's a settlement window where you take the burgers. Now imagine that you go to the first window, and they tell you, $5. You say, "Where's my food?" And they say, "It's at the next window." You say, "I heard what happened at Lehman yesterday. At Lehman someone paid but didn't collect. So I want my food now." And they say, "I can't give you your food now." The whole system is built on trust—that you're going to trust for 10 yards. And you say, "Well, that's what Lehman did. I'm not going to do that." Now what happened to that system? First, you go away hungry even though you had money. And the second window has the food but can't sell it, so the food goes rotten. The system breaks down because no one trusts 10 yards between the first window and the second window. That is what happened after Lehman. It was the most amazing thing, where nobody trusted what we all take absolutely for granted, and therefore you couldn't match people up. That's why we saw these amazing collapses around the world.

Filed under  //   finance   quote  

Regulation Didn’t Break Banks; Police Don’t Cause Crime

http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/InfectiousGreed/~3/L5uTugqLW3w/regulation_didn...

Shared by oliver
greedy and inept bank executives who failed to control activities they did not understand
Good comment from John Kay in the FT: Their activities underwritten by implicit and…

Filed under  //   finance   quote